Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 3084.059039 3330.698531 3580.500568 3852.122784 4138.811906 4432.081384 4754.424660
2024-12-15 2718.411841 3089.371484 3478.954106 3917.338132 4395.624330 4900.359422 5471.999367
2024-12-22 2426.656802 2867.206070 3342.694414 3891.467140 4504.726106 5166.372928 5931.558238
2024-12-29 2270.743648 2769.904741 3320.747295 3969.484570 4708.274002 5519.158234 6472.080081
2025-01-05 2112.508230 2653.084792 3261.762505 3991.709538 4836.963164 5778.712652 6900.850134
2025-01-12 1967.977584 2539.656708 3195.464862 3995.059986 4935.031052 5996.452551 7276.802960
2025-01-19 1778.689643 2360.541845 3040.864704 3884.342300 4890.958790 6042.829865 7449.124489
2025-01-26 1732.941394 2350.542111 3083.398251 4003.725189 5114.686359 6398.719858 7980.531483
2025-02-02 1671.300221 2316.206669 3092.614638 4079.846071 5284.772543 6690.778949 8437.722162
2025-02-09 1578.151208 2236.847914 3041.874478 4078.704832 5358.493824 6866.401830 8756.178461
2025-02-16 1480.353922 2146.254334 2972.422979 4050.092819 5395.095015 6994.906980 9016.703170
2025-02-23 1422.766311 2104.512474 2961.621679 4092.122939 5516.654654 7224.917913 9399.282439
2025-03-02 1346.873548 2036.391499 2915.852957 4089.796047 5584.328510 7392.128569 9710.686352
2025-03-09 1305.564583 2012.570992 2925.843180 4157.709745 5739.990871 7668.265044 10157.438974
2025-03-16 1228.891217 1936.802578 2864.512623 4130.661716 5773.242543 7791.687085 10416.051565
2025-03-23 1200.339575 1925.762383 2887.427222 4212.216418 5944.393859 8086.819577 10888.031785
2025-03-30 1151.650555 1884.053587 2867.245508 4235.445759 6039.545352 8286.523316 11242.048934
2025-04-06 1098.898444 1834.047021 2833.638670 4238.947492 6107.759977 8451.598949 11552.922818
2025-04-13 1007.549110 1724.077948 2713.954137 4123.212913 6016.797760 8411.876439 11603.871846
2025-04-20 1003.728241 1742.259621 2771.807536 4248.003810 6243.115111 8778.570899 12171.211167
2025-04-27 985.164493 1737.451488 2796.749254 4327.551164 6409.723996 9069.534648 12644.137775
2025-05-04 941.601794 1693.023372 2764.016379 4326.358676 6467.718763 9220.012969 12938.097205
2025-05-11 891.557618 1636.461862 2711.934075 4296.460596 6485.674506 9317.585713 13163.848967